FGUS64 KFWR 071932 ESPFWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER YEAR 2022 WATER SUPPLY FORECAST FOR JANUARY 01, 2022 ISSUED JANUARY 04, 2022 NORTHWESTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RWGC2 RIO GRANDE AT WAGON WHEEL GAP APR-SEP 161 50 59 121 204 347 319 SRGC2 SF RIO GRANDE AT SOUTH FORK APR-SEP 112 97 39 89 143 223 115 DNRC2 RIO GRANDE NR DEL NORTE APR-SEP 321 67 113 235 431 622 476 SCKC2 SAGUACHE CK NR SAGUACHE APR-SEP 18 62 5.3 11 23 39 29 TERC2 ALAMOSA CK AB TERRACE RESERVOIR APR-SEP 55 90 17 42 81 132 61 MOGC2 CONEJOS R NR MOGOTE APR-SEP 142 80 53 114 184 271 177 NORTHEASTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- SLUC2 CULEBRA CK AT SAN LUIS APR-SEP 12 63 3.4 5.4 19 25 19 MIDDLE SANGRE MTNS IN NEW MEXICO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RRFN5 RED R BL FISH HATCHERY NR QUESTA MAR-JUL 17 54 7.1 9.5 25 34 31 VADN5 RIO HONDO NR VALDEZ MAR-JUL 18 105 7.6 11 25 38 17 TBCN5 RIO PUEBLO DE TAOS BL LOS CORDOVAS MAR-JUL 20 71 6.5 11 35 54 28 DIXN5 EMBUDO CK AT DIXON MAR-JUL 31 81 7.6 17 52 82 38 CYON5 SANTA CRUZ R AT CUNDIYO MAR-JUL 5.0 33 1.7 2.5 7.2 16 15 EL VADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RCEN5 EL VADO RESERVOIR INFLOW MAR-JUL 139 70 33 90 211 363 196 MAINSTEM ROUTINGS 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- OTWN5 RIO GRANDE AT OTOWI BRIDGE*** MAR-JUL 757 NA 289 569 1050 1560 583 SMFN5 RIO GRANDE AT SAN MARCIAL*** MAR-JUL 687 NA 268 474 925 1355 365 PECOS 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- PCON5 PECOS R NR PECOS MAR-JUL 17 33 6.4 11 38 80 51 ATCN5 PECOS R NR ANTON CHICO MAR-JUL 27 50 8.3 18 48 124 54 MTZN5 GALLINAS CK NR MONTEZUMA MAR-JUL 4.3 53 0.4 1.9 8.4 25 8.0 SRDN5 PECOS R AB SANTA ROSA LK MAR-JUL 28 60 8.4 18 52 133 46 RIO CHAMA SYSTEM 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- LMDN5 RIO OJO CALIENTE AT LA MADERA MAR-JUN 15 41 5.8 9.7 33 66 36 CMTN5 RIO CHAMA NR CHAMITA MAR-MAY 179 72 51 110 255 474 247 ***RUNOFF FORECAST VOLUMES AT OTWN5 AND SMFN5 REPRESENT THE TOTAL NATURAL VOLUME YIELDS. FORECASTS AT THESE LOCATIONS DO NOT ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACTS OF REGULATION, STORAGE, DIVERSIONS AND/OR RETURNS. PERCENT OF AVERAGE VALUES ARE NOT CALCULATED BECAUSE THE FORECAST VOLUME SHOULD NOT BE DIRECTLY COMPARED TO THE 30-YEAR AVERAGE OBSERVED VOLUME. 5%, 25%, 50%, 75% 95% CHANCE THAT ACTUAL VOLUME WILL EXCEED FORECAST. AVERAGES ARE FOR THE 1991-2020 PERIOD. ALL VOLUMES ARE IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET. MEDIAN VALUE ARE USED IN PLACE OF AVERAGE. **************************************************************** * CONTACT DAVID.CAZIER@NOAA.GOV FOR QUESTIONS * * FOR BASIN SNOWPACK INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO * * HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WWGRF_SOIL_MOISTURE * * FOR USGS SURFACE-WATER DATA FOR COLORADO - REFER TO * * HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/CO/NWIS/SW * * CURRENT CONDITIONS FOR NEW MEXICO RESERVOIRS - REFER TO * * HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/NM/NWIS/CURRENT?TYPE=LAKE * * * ****************************************************************