FGUS64 KFWR 031832 ESPFWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER YEAR 2020 WATER SUPPLY FORECAST FOR FEBRUARY 01, 2021 ISSUED FEBRUARY 03, 2021 NORTHWESTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RWGC2 RIO GRANDE AT WAGON WHEEL GAP APR-SEP 213 62 35 165 267 383 340 SRGC2 SF RIO GRANDE AT SOUTH FORK APR-SEP 133 104 21 111 163 224 127 DNRC2 RIO GRANDE NR DEL NORTE APR-SEP 403 78 68 314 490 651 515 SCKC2 SAGUACHE CK NR SAGUACHE APR-SEP 27 84 5.2 18 34 47 32 TERC2 ALAMOSA CK AB TERRACE RESERVOIR APR-SEP 68 100 10 54 100 145 68 MOGC2 CONEJOS R NR MOGOTE APR-SEP 156 80 23 127 190 267 194 NORTHEASTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- SLUC2 CULEBRA CK AT SAN LUIS APR-SEP 23 100 3.1 17 30 44 23 MIDDLE SANGRE MTNS IN NEW MEXICO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RRFN5 RED R BL FISH HATCHERY NR QUESTA MAR-JUL 27 79 7.1 19 29 40 34 VADN5 RIO HONDO NR VALDEZ MAR-JUL 15 81 3.3 12 18 26 18 TBCN5 RIO PUEBLO DE TAOS BL LOS CORDOVAS MAR-JUL 38 105 7.0 27 45 78 36 DIXN5 EMBUDO CK AT DIXON MAR-JUL 32 66 6.3 20 37 65 48 CYON5 SANTA CRUZ R AT CUNDIYO MAR-JUL 9.7 53 2.0 6.3 13 23 18 EL VADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RCEN5 EL VADO RESERVOIR INFLOW MAR-JUL 196 87 31 155 261 320 225 MAINSTEM ROUTINGS 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- OTWN5 RIO GRANDE AT OTOWI BRIDGE*** MAR-JUL 959 NA 223 837 1229 1616 720 SMFN5 RIO GRANDE AT SAN MARCIAL*** MAR-JUL 842 NA 207 710 1047 1365 510 PECOS 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- PCON5 PECOS R NR PECOS MAR-JUL 20 35 6.6 15 30 61 57 ATCN5 PECOS R NR ANTON CHICO MAR-JUL 30 47 9.6 24 43 85 63 MTZN5 GALLINAS CK NR MONTEZUMA MAR-JUL 5.6 57 0.7 4.6 9.2 21 9.8 SRDN5 PECOS R AB SANTA ROSA LK MAR-JUL 35 62 10 26 51 95 56 RIO CHAMA SYSTEM 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- LMDN5 RIO OJO CALIENTE AT LA MADERA MAR-JUN 28 62 4.2 12 47 71 45 CMTN5 RIO CHAMA NR CHAMITA MAR-MAY 248 79 46 184 338 441 312 ***RUNOFF FORECAST VOLUMES AT OTWN5 AND SMFN5 REPRESENT THE TOTAL NATURAL VOLUME YIELDS. FORECASTS AT THESE LOCATIONS DO NOT ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACTS OF REGULATION, STORAGE, DIVERSIONS AND/OR RETURNS. PERCENT OF AVERAGE VALUES ARE NOT CALCULATED BECAUSE THE FORECAST VOLUME SHOULD NOT BE DIRECTLY COMPARED TO THE 30-YEAR AVERAGE OBSERVED VOLUME. 5%, 25%, 50%, 75% 95% CHANCE THAT ACTUAL VOLUME WILL EXCEED FORECAST. AVERAGES ARE FOR THE 1981-2010 PERIOD. ALL VOLUMES ARE IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET. MEDIAN VALUE ARE USED IN PLACE OF AVERAGE. **************************************************************** * CONTACT DAVID.CAZIER@NOAA.GOV FOR QUESTIONS * * FOR BASIN SNOWPACK INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO * * HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WWGRF_SOIL_MOISTURE * * FOR USGS SURFACE-WATER DATA FOR COLORADO - REFER TO * * HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/CO/NWIS/SW * * CURRENT CONDITIONS FOR NEW MEXICO RESERVOIRS - REFER TO * * HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/NM/NWIS/CURRENT?TYPE=LAKE * * * ****************************************************************