FGUS64 KFWR 051543 ESPFWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER YEAR 2020 WATER SUPPLY FORECAST FOR MARCH 01, 2021 ISSUED MARCH 05, 2021 NORTHWESTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RWGC2 RIO GRANDE AT WAGON WHEEL GAP APR-SEP 198 58 44 150 237 365 340 SRGC2 SF RIO GRANDE AT SOUTH FORK APR-SEP 125 98 31 90 150 208 127 DNRC2 RIO GRANDE NR DEL NORTE APR-SEP 370 71 90 281 437 622 515 SCKC2 SAGUACHE CK NR SAGUACHE APR-SEP 24 75 6.6 17 32 43 32 TERC2 ALAMOSA CK AB TERRACE RESERVOIR APR-SEP 61 89 12 40 80 125 68 MOGC2 CONEJOS R NR MOGOTE APR-SEP 139 71 29 97 166 238 194 NORTHEASTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- SLUC2 CULEBRA CK AT SAN LUIS APR-SEP 19 82 3.4 13 24 37 23 MIDDLE SANGRE MTNS IN NEW MEXICO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RRFN5 RED R BL FISH HATCHERY NR QUESTA MAR-JUL 25 73 9.0 18 30 40 34 VADN5 RIO HONDO NR VALDEZ MAR-JUL 14 76 4.8 12 18 26 18 TBCN5 RIO PUEBLO DE TAOS BL LOS CORDOVAS MAR-JUL 32 88 9.8 25 42 74 36 DIXN5 EMBUDO CK AT DIXON MAR-JUL 27 56 8.3 18 37 63 48 CYON5 SANTA CRUZ R AT CUNDIYO MAR-JUL 8.9 48 2.5 6.0 13 24 18 EL VADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RCEN5 EL VADO RESERVOIR INFLOW MAR-JUL 186 82 47 136 233 299 225 MAINSTEM ROUTINGS 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- OTWN5 RIO GRANDE AT OTOWI BRIDGE*** MAR-JUL 875 NA 280 685 1066 1485 720 SMFN5 RIO GRANDE AT SAN MARCIAL*** MAR-JUL 748 NA 252 593 917 1254 510 PECOS 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- PCON5 PECOS R NR PECOS MAR-JUL 20 35 7.9 13 26 63 57 ATCN5 PECOS R NR ANTON CHICO MAR-JUL 28 44 11 19 42 85 63 MTZN5 GALLINAS CK NR MONTEZUMA MAR-JUL 5.7 58 1.0 2.8 7.9 19 9.8 SRDN5 PECOS R AB SANTA ROSA LK MAR-JUL 32 57 12 22 49 93 56 RIO CHAMA SYSTEM 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- LMDN5 RIO OJO CALIENTE AT LA MADERA MAR-JUN 21 46 5.5 10 27 48 45 CMTN5 RIO CHAMA NR CHAMITA MAR-MAY 224 71 64 165 280 390 312 ***RUNOFF FORECAST VOLUMES AT OTWN5 AND SMFN5 REPRESENT THE TOTAL NATURAL VOLUME YIELDS. FORECASTS AT THESE LOCATIONS DO NOT ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACTS OF REGULATION, STORAGE, DIVERSIONS AND/OR RETURNS. PERCENT OF AVERAGE VALUES ARE NOT CALCULATED BECAUSE THE FORECAST VOLUME SHOULD NOT BE DIRECTLY COMPARED TO THE 30-YEAR AVERAGE OBSERVED VOLUME. 5%, 25%, 50%, 75% 95% CHANCE THAT ACTUAL VOLUME WILL EXCEED FORECAST. AVERAGES ARE FOR THE 1981-2010 PERIOD. ALL VOLUMES ARE IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET. MEDIAN VALUE ARE USED IN PLACE OF AVERAGE. **************************************************************** * CONTACT DAVID.CAZIER@NOAA.GOV FOR QUESTIONS * * FOR BASIN SNOWPACK INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO * * HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WWGRF_SOIL_MOISTURE * * FOR USGS SURFACE-WATER DATA FOR COLORADO - REFER TO * * HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/CO/NWIS/SW * * CURRENT CONDITIONS FOR NEW MEXICO RESERVOIRS - REFER TO * * HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/NM/NWIS/CURRENT?TYPE=LAKE * * * ****************************************************************