FGUS64 KFWR 051639 ESPFWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER YEAR 2021 WATER SUPPLY FORECAST FOR APRIL 01, 2021 ISSUED APRIL 5, 2021 NORTHWESTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RWGC2 RIO GRANDE AT WAGON WHEEL GAP APR-SEP 173 50 59 147 228 375 340 SRGC2 SF RIO GRANDE AT SOUTH FORK APR-SEP 112 88 50 98 139 170 127 DNRC2 RIO GRANDE NR DEL NORTE APR-SEP 330 64 129 274 411 612 515 SCKC2 SAGUACHE CK NR SAGUACHE APR-SEP 26 81 11 20 31 45 32 TERC2 ALAMOSA CK AB TERRACE RESERVOIR APR-SEP 52 76 16 42 70 102 68 MOGC2 CONEJOS R NR MOGOTE APR-SEP 133 68 54 114 160 215 194 NORTHEASTERN RIO GRANDE IN COLORADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- SLUC2 CULEBRA CK AT SAN LUIS APR-SEP 21 91 4.9 14 26 42 23 MIDDLE SANGRE MTNS IN NEW MEXICO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RRFN5 RED R BL FISH HATCHERY NR QUESTA MAR-JUL 23 67 10 18 29 42 34 VADN5 RIO HONDO NR VALDEZ MAR-JUL 14 76 6.9 11 17 24 18 TBCN5 RIO PUEBLO DE TAOS BL LOS CORDOVAS MAR-JUL 31 86 13 23 39 55 36 DIXN5 EMBUDO CK AT DIXON MAR-JUL 26 54 10 18 33 53 48 CYON5 SANTA CRUZ R AT CUNDIYO MAR-JUL 7.4 40 2.2 5.0 10 17 18 EL VADO 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- RCEN5 EL VADO RESERVOIR INFLOW MAR-JUL 173 76 76 140 213 259 225 MAINSTEM ROUTINGS 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- OTWN5 RIO GRANDE AT OTOWI BRIDGE*** MAR-JUL 799 NA 353 674 957 1334 720 SMFN5 RIO GRANDE AT SAN MARCIAL*** MAR-JUL 693 NA 312 573 823 1133 510 PECOS 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- PCON5 PECOS R NR PECOS MAR-JUL 17 29 8.9 13 30 44 57 ATCN5 PECOS R NR ANTON CHICO MAR-JUL 26 41 13 18 43 66 63 MTZN5 GALLINAS CK NR MONTEZUMA MAR-JUL 5.9 60 1.8 3.4 9.6 15 9.8 SRDN5 PECOS R AB SANTA ROSA LK MAR-JUL 30 53 14 21 50 78 56 RIO CHAMA SYSTEM 50% % OF 95% 75% 25% 5% 30-YR FORECAST POINT PERIOD (KAF) AVG (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) (KAF) AVG -------------- ------ ----- ---- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- LMDN5 RIO OJO CALIENTE AT LA MADERA MAR-JUN 22 48 7.9 13 34 55 45 CMTN5 RIO CHAMA NR CHAMITA MAR-MAY 208 66 92 172 266 347 312 ***RUNOFF FORECAST VOLUMES AT OTWN5 AND SMFN5 REPRESENT THE TOTAL NATURAL VOLUME YIELDS. FORECASTS AT THESE LOCATIONS DO NOT ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACTS OF REGULATION, STORAGE, DIVERSIONS AND/OR RETURNS. PERCENT OF AVERAGE VALUES ARE NOT CALCULATED BECAUSE THE FORECAST VOLUME SHOULD NOT BE DIRECTLY COMPARED TO THE 30-YEAR AVERAGE OBSERVED VOLUME. 5%, 25%, 50%, 75% 95% CHANCE THAT ACTUAL VOLUME WILL EXCEED FORECAST. AVERAGES ARE FOR THE 1981-2010 PERIOD. ALL VOLUMES ARE IN THOUSANDS OF ACRE-FEET. MEDIAN VALUE ARE USED IN PLACE OF AVERAGE. **************************************************************** * CONTACT DAVID.CAZIER@NOAA.GOV FOR QUESTIONS * * FOR BASIN SNOWPACK INFORMATION PLEASE REFER TO * * HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/WGRFC/WWGRF_SOIL_MOISTURE * * FOR USGS SURFACE-WATER DATA FOR COLORADO - REFER TO * * HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/CO/NWIS/SW * * CURRENT CONDITIONS FOR NEW MEXICO RESERVOIRS - REFER TO * * HTTPS://WATERDATA.USGS.GOV/NM/NWIS/CURRENT?TYPE=LAKE * * * ****************************************************************