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10 Day HEFS River Level Probabilities
Forecast Period: 2024-07-03 - 2024-07-13
Used to Estimate Chances River Will Rise Above A Certain Level During the Forecast Period
Each Column Shows the River Level for A Specified Percent Chance of Exceedance
Click on the StationID to go to hydrograph page for that station
Table Last Updated : Wed Jul 3 10:40:14 EDT 2024
Jump to - - Upper Susquehanna Basin - Lower Susquehanna Basin - Upper Delaware Basin - Lower Delaware Basin - New Jersey Basins - Potomac, Rappahannock, and Shenandoah Basins - James and Appomattox Basins
| |
Exceedance Level (ft.) |
Flood Levels (ft.) |
| StationID |
River |
City,State |
10% |
30% |
50% |
70% |
90% |
Action |
Minor |
Mod |
Major |
| RCKN6 |
Unadilla River |
Rockdale, NY |
6.0 |
5.3 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
8.0 |
11.0 |
12.0 |
13.0 |
BAIN6 |
Susquehanna River |
Bainbridge, NY |
5.9 |
4.5 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
13.0 |
15.0 |
20.0 |
22.0 |
WSRN6 |
Susquehanna River |
Windsor, NY |
7.3 |
5.6 |
4.5 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
13.0 |
17.0 |
19.0 |
20.5 |
CKLN6 |
Susquehanna River |
Conklin, NY |
7.2 |
4.7 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
15.0 |
20.0 |
CRTN6 |
Tioughnioga River |
Cortland, NY |
5.1 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
12.5 |
CINN6 |
Otselic River |
Cincinnatus, NY |
3.8 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
10.5 |
11.5 |
SHBN6 |
Chenango River |
Sherburne, NY |
4.3 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
6.5 |
8.5 |
9.5 |
10.6 |
GNEN6 |
Chenango River |
Greene, NY |
5.8 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
11.0 |
13.0 |
15.0 |
18.0 |
CNON6 |
Chenango River |
Chenango Forks, NY |
5.2 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
12.6 |
14.0 |
VSTN6 |
Susquehanna River |
Vestal, NY |
9.8 |
6.6 |
4.9 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
15.0 |
18.0 |
21.0 |
27.0 |
WVYN6 |
Susquehanna River |
Waverly NY (Near), PA |
5.8 |
3.8 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
12.0 |
13.0 |
16.0 |
20.0 |
WCRN6 |
Canisteo River |
West Cameron, NY |
7.0 |
5.4 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
11.0 |
17.0 |
18.0 |
21.0 |
CMPN6 |
Cohocton River |
Campbell, NY |
4.6 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
7.0 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
13.0 |
CRNN6 |
Chemung River |
Corning, NY |
17.3 |
16.3 |
15.6 |
15.1 |
15.0 |
21.0 |
29.0 |
30.0 |
36.0 |
CMGN6 |
Chemung River |
Chemung, NY |
6.0 |
4.9 |
4.0 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
12.0 |
16.0 |
20.0 |
24.0 |
TOWP1 |
Susquehanna River |
Towanda, PA |
4.1 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
14.0 |
16.0 |
18.0 |
25.1 |
MONP1 |
Towanda Creek |
Monroeton, PA |
8.8 |
7.6 |
7.0 |
6.7 |
6.4 |
12.0 |
15.5 |
17.0 |
18.5 |
MHPP1 |
Susquehanna River |
Meshoppen, PA |
13.8 |
11.6 |
9.9 |
9.2 |
9.2 |
25.0 |
27.0 |
31.0 |
40.0 |
TNKP1 |
Tunkhannock Creek |
Tunkhannock, PA |
3.7 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
9.0 |
11.0 |
14.0 |
17.0 |
OFRP1 |
Lackawanna River |
Old Forge, PA |
4.4 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
7.0 |
11.0 |
13.0 |
16.0 |
WBRP1 |
Susquehanna River |
Wilkes-Barre, PA |
6.5 |
4.5 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
10.0 |
22.0 |
28.0 |
30.0 |
| |
Exceedance Level (ft.) |
Flood Levels (ft.) |
| StationID |
River |
City,State |
10% |
30% |
50% |
70% |
90% |
Action |
Minor |
Mod |
Major |
| MFDP1 |
Tioga River |
Mansfield, PA |
2.6 |
1.2 |
.4 |
.1 |
0 |
9.0 |
12.0 |
13.0 |
14.0 |
KARP1 |
West Branch Susquehanna River |
Karthaus, PA |
4.6 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
16.0 |
19.0 |
22.0 |
24.0 |
SNNP1 |
Sinnemahoning Creek |
Sinnemahoning, PA |
4.2 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
13.0 |
17.0 |
19.0 |
21.0 |
ROVP1 |
West Branch Susquehanna River |
Renovo, PA |
3.2 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
.7 |
.5 |
12.0 |
16.0 |
18.0 |
22.0 |
CEDP1 |
Pine Creek |
Cedar Run, PA |
3.4 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
7.0 |
12.0 |
13.0 |
15.0 |
WILP1 |
West Branch Susquehanna River |
Williamsport, PA |
4.5 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
10.0 |
20.0 |
21.0 |
30.0 |
LOYP1 |
Loyalsock Creek |
Loyalsockville, PA |
3.9 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
9.0 |
12.0 |
13.0 |
14.0 |
LWBP1 |
West Branch Susquehanna River |
Lewisburg, PA |
4.9 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
14.0 |
18.0 |
23.0 |
28.0 |
WIBP1 |
Frankstown Branch Juniata River |
Williamsburg, PA |
4.7 |
4.0 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
9.0 |
12.0 |
13.0 |
15.0 |
SPKP1 |
Little Juniata River |
Spruce Creek, PA |
3.6 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
6.0 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
14.0 |
HUJP1 |
Juniata River |
Huntingdon, PA |
3.1 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
9.0 |
12.0 |
13.0 |
15.0 |
SXTP1 |
Raystown Branch Juniata River |
Saxton, PA |
2.4 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
14.0 |
17.0 |
19.0 |
22.0 |
NPTP1 |
Juniata River |
Newport, PA |
4.4 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
17.0 |
22.0 |
25.0 |
30.0 |
SBYP1 |
Susquehanna River |
Sunbury, PA |
10.2 |
8.9 |
8.0 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
20.0 |
24.0 |
26.0 |
34.0 |
PNCP1 |
Penns Creek |
Penns Creek, PA |
3.6 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
6.0 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
SMDP1 |
Sherman Creek |
Shermans Dale, PA |
2.7 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
5.0 |
9.0 |
11.0 |
16.0 |
HGSP1 |
Conodoguinet Creek |
Hogestown, PA |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
6.0 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
HARP1 |
Susquehanna River |
Harrisburg, PA |
4.7 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
11.0 |
17.0 |
20.0 |
23.0 |
CPHP1 |
Yellow Breeches Creek |
Camp Hill, PA |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
6.0 |
7.0 |
9.0 |
13.0 |
HTVP1 |
Swatara Ck |
Harper Tavern, PA |
3.6 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
.7 |
.4 |
7.0 |
9.0 |
12.0 |
15.0 |
HERP1 |
Swatara Creek |
Hershey, PA |
3.4 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
6.0 |
7.0 |
10.0 |
14.0 |
MRTP1 |
Susquehanna River |
Marietta, PA |
36.9 |
35.4 |
34.9 |
34.5 |
34.5 |
44.0 |
49.0 |
52.0 |
54.0 |
LNCP1 |
Conestoga River |
Lancaster, PA |
4.8 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
9.0 |
11.0 |
13.0 |
15.0 |
| |
Exceedance Level (ft.) |
Flood Levels (ft.) |
| StationID |
River |
City,State |
10% |
30% |
50% |
70% |
90% |
Action |
Minor |
Mod |
Major |
| WALN6 |
West Branch Delaware River |
Walton, NY |
5.8 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
7.5 |
9.5 |
14.0 |
16.0 |
CKFN6 |
Beaver Kill |
Cooks Falls, NY |
5.4 |
3.8 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
16.0 |
18.0 |
HWYP1 |
Lackawaxen River |
Hawley, PA |
5.0 |
3.7 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
11.0 |
14.0 |
20.0 |
22.0 |
MTMP1 |
Delaware River |
Matamoras PA/Port Jervis NY, PA |
5.4 |
4.2 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
16.0 |
18.0 |
20.0 |
21.5 |
MTGN4 |
Delaware River |
Montague, NJ/Milford, PA, PA |
8.7 |
7.1 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
23.0 |
25.0 |
28.0 |
31.0 |
| |
Exceedance Level (ft.) |
Flood Levels (ft.) |
| StationID |
River |
City,State |
10% |
30% |
50% |
70% |
90% |
Action |
Minor |
Mod |
Major |
| ALNP1 |
Jordan Ck. |
Allentown, PA |
2.3 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
6.0 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
11.0 |
SHOP1 |
Bush Kill |
Shoemakers, PA |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
5.0 |
6.0 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
MNSP1 |
Brodhead Ck. |
Minisink Hills, PA |
2.9 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
15.0 |
BVDN4 |
Delaware River |
Belvidere, NJ |
7.5 |
5.8 |
5.3 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
18.5 |
22.0 |
24.0 |
25.0 |
TREN4 |
Delaware River |
Trenton, NJ |
10.9 |
9.9 |
9.6 |
9.0 |
8.8 |
17.0 |
20.0 |
23.0 |
25.0 |
BREP1 |
Schuylkill R. |
Berne, PA |
6.3 |
5.6 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
14.0 |
16.0 |
GRAP1 |
Perkiomen Creek |
Graterford, PA |
4.7 |
3.1 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
8.0 |
11.0 |
13.0 |
16.0 |
PADP1 |
Schuylkill River |
Philadelphia, PA |
7.4 |
6.5 |
6.2 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
10.0 |
11.0 |
13.0 |
15.5 |
CDFP1 |
Brandywine Creek |
Chadds Ford, PA |
5.1 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
11.0 |
13.0 |
| |
Exceedance Level (ft.) |
Flood Levels (ft.) |
| StationID |
River |
City,State |
10% |
30% |
50% |
70% |
90% |
Action |
Minor |
Mod |
Major |
| MILN4 |
Passaic River |
Millington, NJ |
5.3 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
9.8 |
CAMN4 |
Passaic River |
Chatham, NJ |
4.4 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
BOTN4 |
Rockaway River |
Boonton USGS (Above Res), NJ |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
6.0 |
7.0 |
MAWN4 |
Ramapo River |
Mahwah, NJ |
4.3 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
7.5 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
12.0 |
PPTN4 |
Ramapo R. |
Pompton Lakes, NJ |
8.2 |
7.7 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
7.0 |
10.0 |
11.5 |
13.5 |
14.5 |
PPPN4 |
Pompton R. |
Pompton Plains, NJ |
9.3 |
8.8 |
8.4 |
8.1 |
7.9 |
13.0 |
16.0 |
18.0 |
19.0 |
LTFN4 |
Passaic River |
Little Falls, NJ |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
6.5 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
LODN4 |
Saddle R. |
Lodi, NJ |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
5.0 |
5.5 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
STTN4 |
S. Br. Raritan R. |
Stanton, NJ |
4.3 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
RRTN4 |
N. Br. Raritan River |
Raritan, NJ |
4.4 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
15.0 |
MNVN4 |
Raritan R. |
Manville, NJ |
7.2 |
5.9 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
12.0 |
14.0 |
17.0 |
20.0 |
BKWN4 |
Millstone River |
Blackwells Mills, NJ |
3.4 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
7.0 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
15.0 |
BDKN4 |
Raritan River |
Bound Brook, NJ |
20.7 |
19.2 |
18.3 |
17.7 |
17.1 |
26.0 |
28.0 |
30.0 |
33.0 |
TACN4 |
Assunpink Creek |
Trenton on the Assunpink, NJ |
5.2 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
7.0 |
8.5 |
9.5 |
11.0 |
PEBN4 |
N. Br. Rancocas Creek |
Pemberton, NJ |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
| |
Exceedance Level (ft.) |
Flood Levels (ft.) |
| StationID |
River |
City,State |
10% |
30% |
50% |
70% |
90% |
Action |
Minor |
Mod |
Major |
| KITM2 |
North Branch Potomac River |
Kitzmiller, MD |
4.8 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
8.0 |
9.0 |
12.0 |
15.0 |
FKLW2 |
South Branch Potomac River |
Franklin, WV |
2.5 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
6.0 |
7.0 |
9.0 |
11.0 |
PETW2 |
S. Br. Potomac R. |
Petersburg, WV |
4.8 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
12.0 |
14.0 |
15.0 |
17.0 |
MOFW2 |
S. Fork S. Branch Potomac R. |
Moorefield, WV |
3.7 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
14.0 |
SPRW2 |
South Branch Potomac River |
Springfield, WV |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
12.0 |
15.0 |
19.0 |
25.0 |
PAWW2 |
Potomac River |
Paw Paw, WV |
6.2 |
4.9 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
22.5 |
25.0 |
30.0 |
37.0 |
HNKM2 |
Potomac River |
Hancock, MD |
4.8 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
21.0 |
25.0 |
33.0 |
35.0 |
FAVM2 |
Conococheague Creek |
Fairview, MD |
2.8 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
15.0 |
MBGW2 |
Opequon Creek |
Martinsburg, WV |
3.2 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
12.5 |
15.0 |
SHEW2 |
Potomac River |
Shepherdstown, WV |
3.5 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
8.0 |
15.0 |
22.0 |
25.0 |
SACM2 |
Antietam Creek |
Sharpsburg, MD |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
7.0 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
PORM2 |
Potomac River |
Point Of Rocks, MD |
2.4 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
11.0 |
16.0 |
20.0 |
27.0 |
FDKM2 |
Monocacy River |
Frederick, MD |
5.3 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
13.0 |
15.0 |
17.0 |
20.0 |
LEEV2 |
Goose Creek |
Leesburg, VA |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
15.0 |
18.0 |
DAWM2 |
Seneca Creek |
Dawsonville, MD |
3.8 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
5.0 |
7.5 |
11.0 |
16.0 |
BRKM2 |
Potomac River |
Little Falls, MD |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
5.0 |
10.0 |
12.0 |
14.0 |
WAYV2 |
South River |
Waynesboro, VA |
2.8 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
7.5 |
9.5 |
11.0 |
13.0 |
LYWV2 |
South Fork Shenandoah River |
Lynnwood, VA |
2.9 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
14.0 |
16.0 |
17.0 |
20.0 |
SFSV2 |
South Fork Shenandoah River |
Luray, VA |
2.6 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
13.0 |
14.0 |
20.0 |
25.0 |
FROV2 |
South Fork Shenandoah River |
Front Royal, VA |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
8.0 |
12.0 |
14.0 |
18.0 |
COOV2 |
North Fork Shenandoah River |
Cootes Store, VA |
4.4 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
10.0 |
15.0 |
18.0 |
21.0 |
MILW2 |
Shenandoah R. |
Millville, WV |
2.7 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
14.0 |
17.0 |
RENV2 |
Rappahannock River |
Remington, VA |
4.2 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
12.0 |
15.0 |
20.0 |
25.0 |
CLPV2 |
Rapidan River |
Culpeper, VA |
1.9 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
.8 |
.6 |
11.0 |
13.0 |
17.0 |
21.0 |
FDBV2 |
Rappahannock River |
Fredericksburg, VA |
3.4 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
10.0 |
13.0 |
16.0 |
23.0 |
| |
Exceedance Level (ft.) |
Flood Levels (ft.) |
| StationID |
River |
City,State |
10% |
30% |
50% |
70% |
90% |
Action |
Minor |
Mod |
Major |
| LIRV2 |
James River |
Lick Run, VA |
3.9 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
12.0 |
16.0 |
22.0 |
25.0 |
BNNV2 |
James River |
Buchanan, VA |
3.8 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
11.0 |
17.0 |
21.0 |
26.0 |
BVSV2 |
Maury R. |
Buena Vista, VA |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
13.0 |
17.0 |
19.0 |
21.0 |
HRKV2 |
James River |
Holcomb Rock, VA |
5.4 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
18.0 |
22.0 |
24.0 |
28.0 |
BECV2 |
James R. |
Bent Creek, VA |
4.0 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
15.0 |
16.0 |
18.0 |
22.0 |
SVEV2 |
James River |
Scottsville, VA |
4.4 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
11.0 |
20.0 |
22.0 |
24.0 |
PYAV2 |
Rivanna River |
Palmyra, VA |
4.5 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
15.0 |
17.0 |
25.0 |
32.0 |
CARV2 |
James River |
Cartersville, VA |
2.9 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
.8 |
15.0 |
20.0 |
23.0 |
26.4 |
RMDV2 |
James River |
Richmond-Westham, VA |
4.9 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
9.0 |
12.0 |
15.0 |
22.0 |
FRMV2 |
Appomattox River |
Farmville, VA |
6.1 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
12.0 |
16.0 |
20.0 |
25.0 |
MTXV2 |
Appomattox River |
Mattoax, VA |
9.7 |
7.9 |
7.3 |
7.2 |
6.9 |
18.0 |
21.0 |
25.0 |
28.0 |
MTCV2 |
Appomattox River |
Matoaca, VA |
4.1 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
8.0 |
10.0 |
13.0 |
15.0 |