National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
NWS State College Aviation Weather Discussion
.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A few showers have developed across the northern tier and will
continue to push eastward over the next few hours. Showers and
thunderstorms are struggling to develop and are not as
widespread tonight as originally anticipated across the northern
tier of the state. It's possible some early morning showers
could develop across the south as a local vorticity maxima moves
across southern PA.

Ceilings will gradually lower at BFD as throughout the overnight
and early morning hours. A period of MVFR ceilings is likely 
after 06Z with IFR ceilings expected after 09Z. There is fairly 
high confidence that the low clouds extend down to JST with the 
HREF showing a 60-70% chance of MVFR ceilings there. Elsewhere, 
VFR conditions are anticipated.

As the front progresses through the area during the afternoon
today, thunderstorms will become more focused across the south.
While all sites will likely see showers at some point during 
the TAF period, the exact timing of thunder will have to be 
adjusted in the forecast once we have a better idea of the exact
placement of storms. Brief visibility restrictions and gusty 
winds will be possible in any of the stronger thunderstorms. A
majority of the convective activity will be out of the region by
03Z tomorrow. 

Outlook...

Fri...Sct TSRA w/ possible impacts; Mainly PM w/ highest
coverage across the west.

Sat...Sct to Nmrs TSRA areawide, highest chances SE in PM.

Sun...AM fog possible; otherwise, no sig wx.

Mon...SHRA possible SE late PM; otherwise, no sig wx.

&&

 

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